It’s been a short while since we last looked at the long range weather forecast and its potential impact on your summer of SUP. We need hardly remind everyone about the notorious (infamous) heat wave we had a few weeks back. Even though it was short and sharp there was much publicity. Checking how things look this morning and it seems there may be another spell of warm weather on the cards.
GFS model output.
The GFS model output for next week suggests some pretty high thermometer readings. As yet it’s too far in the future to be guaranteed. But as the last heatwave proved warnings more than three days out can often come to fruition. Or at least give signals to the imminent weather. You can see the GFS model in visual form below.
There’s one other point to make with temperatures and sunshine in mind. Looking at the next graphic you can see the levels of rainfall for July 2022 issued by the Met Office. It’s been rather dry, to say the least. And if we do see another settled and hot spell it’ll only make it more so. Whilst we all want warm and rainless conditions for SUP it’s actually not great in the long run.
Met Office long range weather forecast.
So what are the Met Office saying with their long range weather forecast? You can read it below.
Saturday 6 Aug – Monday 15 Aug
Most places are likely to see mainly settled weather at the start of this period, with a mix of cloud and sunny spells across the country. However, cloud and outbreaks of rain will spread across northern areas on Saturday, the heaviest of these expected in northwest Scotland. Dry in the south with clear or sunny spells. Isolated showers may affect the north through the weekend and into Monday. Temperatures near normal, or locally warm in parts of the south. The dry weather is likely to persist further into the period, becoming more widespread in the north. Still the chance of some periods of organised rain in the north at times. Temperatures becoming widely near normal, but perhaps warm or very warm in the south.
Tuesday 16 Aug – Tuesday 30 Aug
Dry weather likely to continue in this period for many, but still a chance of some periods of organised rain in the north. These may make incursions further south at times, especially towards the end of the month. For the south and southeast any precipitation is most likely in the form of showers or thunderstorms, although most areas are likely to be drier than average. Temperatures likely continuing to be widely above normal, with the potential for a very warm spell in the south.
So very much a waiting game. Albeit the weather generally be fine for most paddlers wanting to get out. But as far as another heatwave’s concerned we need to see what ends up being… Stay tuned.